Saturday, October 27, 2012

Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Sandy's path along the U.S. East Coast and her upcoming landfall fulfill a long-range prediction issued here on The Weather Alternative back in May of this year. The May 26, 2012 post entitled Long-range Effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2 pinpointed the U.S. East Coast and Caribbean area for a possible tropical system and other severe weather between October 28-30 of this year.

In that post, I presented the following astro-locality map. The map shows areas circled in red that would be activated at different times resulting in severe weather.

      Eclipse
Let's look at some of these areas starting with the red circle in the Caribbean. In the May post, I pointed out how Tropical Storm Beryl had developed there at the time of the eclipse. This is the same area where Hurricane Sandy began on October 22nd as Tropical Depression 18.

Next, let's look at the circles over the Carolina's. One is over South Carolina, and the other is off the North Carolina coast. In the original post, I showed how Tropical Storm Alberto affected this area on the day of the eclipse. I then pointed out how a few days later when the eclipse was activated once again, Subtropical Storm Beryl was drawn there as well. The National Weather Service map below is for today and shows Hurricane Sandy over the very same area.
27 Hurricane Sandy

The last circles are over the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast. These areas have experienced severe weather when the eclipse has been activated in the past. These same areas are slated to be under the gun over the next few days as can be seen from the next National Weather Service map showing the extent of tropical storm force winds from Hurricane Sandy.

27 TS Winds If you are in the path of this hurricane, stay safe and check out The Weather Alternative for other long-range forecasts.
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Fall Weather 2012: Eastern U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: New England
Fall Weather 2012: Central U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: The U.S. West Coast
Mars Conjunct Saturn August 15, 2012
Jupiter-Neptune and Heavy Rain
The Solar Eclipse of November 13, 2012
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Monday, October 22, 2012

October 15-21, 2012 Fall Forecast Results

Here are the latest results of long-range weather forecasts for the 2012 fall season. The first forecast was posted back in August of this year for the central U.S. and can be found here.

Forecast
October 15-19, 2012
Venus and Jupiter make adverse aspects to Saturn, and the Sun parallels Saturn. This represents a cold and stormy time for the Plains.

Results

The Weather Channel map below is for Oct 16 and shows a low pressure area affecting the central and northern Plains.
Oct 16
On the 16th, the Weather Channel reported "Wind Maker Rolls into the Plains and Midwest." Their post on the 17th stated "Rain and showers spiral around a large storm system centered in the Great Lakes. It will be wet from the northern and central Plains eastward to the Ohio Valley."

Between the 16th and 17th, this storm system was responsible for wind gusts near hurricane strength over the Plains that spread blustery and chilly conditions to the Ohio Valley. Powerful wind gusts swept into Kansas and Missouri on the 18th, and a powerful storm lingered over Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Forecast
October 17-19, 2012
Mercury will now activate the position of Venus and most likely bring a front or low pressure system that affects 84 west longitude from Michigan down through Florida.

Results
This forecast was posted on Sept 9th and can be found here. The following Weather Channel map is for October 17th and shows a cold front pushing toward the aforementioned area.
Oct 17
Accuweather headlines on the 17th stated "Mississippi Valley Strong Storms Wednesday Night." On the 18th the Weather Channel reported "Midwest Storm Dominates Eastern Weather." By the 18th, this potent cold front moving across the Lower Mississippi Valley acted as the ignition for thunderstorms. The day before, at least 8 people were injured by tornadoes that swept through the Mississippi Valley and the South.

Forecast West Coast U.S.
October 20-21, 2012
Windy and stormy conditions.

Results
This forecast was for the U.S. West Coast and was posted in August 2012. The following Accuweather map for the 21st shows the low pressure system fulfilling the long-range forecast.
21 West Coast
On the 19th, the National Weather Service began to issue urgent winter weather messages for Washington and Oregon calling for the first significant snow of the season to affect mountains and passes. Wind warnings were also posted stating that a strong cold front would bring windy conditions on the 19th and 20th. Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph were expected.

Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Fall Weather 2012: Eastern U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: New England
Fall Weather 2012: Central U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: The U.S. West Coast
Mars Conjunct Saturn August 15, 2012
Jupiter-Neptune and Heavy Rain
The Solar Eclipse of November 13, 2012
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Thought of the Day

“Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak, it’s also what it takes to sit down and listen.”—Winston Churchill

Monday, October 15, 2012

Testing Astrometeorology Part 1


Recently, I was reading through astrologer Bruce Scofield’s doctoral dissertation entitled A History and Test of Planetary Weather Forecasting, which he submitted to the University of Massachusetts Amherst in May of 2010. This 249-page dissertation examines the history of astrometeorology, which is a methodology for forecasting weather patterns based on geocentric planetary alignments. As readers of this blog know, that is the subject presented here at The Weather Alternative. Bruce’s dissertation also presents a test of astrometeorology.

Bruce’s hypothesis states that there is a correlation, shown in daily temperature records, between cooling trends in specific regions and the geocentric alignments of the Sun and the planet Saturn. He uses modern daily temperature data from New England, Central England, Prague, and other locations. He finds that his hypothesis is supported by a number of tests that show lower temperatures on days when the Sun-Saturn alignments occur, especially when near the equinoxes. In particular, he studies the opposition aspect between the Sun and Saturn.

The astrometeorological method takes into account a number of factors when determining weather forecasts. First, the time of the aspect in question is noted. By this I mean the day or days when those aspects among the Sun and planets form. Second, the nature of the planets in aspect must be considered. Do the astrometeorological natures of the planets involved in the aspect point toward cold, wind, heat, storms etc.? These natures have been handed down to us by previous weather forecasters of past centuries. Third, certain key charts are used to determine where on earth the influence of the aspect will manifest. Just because a certain aspect might signify cold weather does not mean the whole earth will feel this influence. These key charts localize the influence of the planets in question to certain geographical areas. Now, for whatever reasons, as I understand his test, Bruce deals with the Sun-Saturn oppositions without the localizing effect of these key charts.

I thought I’d give a look at some past Sun-Saturn oppositions with the aid of one of the most important key charts, see where the effects would be localized, and then check the weather for those dates to see if they correspond to the weather experienced. All of the astrometeorological authors, as Bruce points out, agree that Saturn was associated with cold weather. We also find that these same authors associated the Sun-Saturn opposition with stormy periods that delivered rain, snow, hail etc. depending on the season. I’ve used, in each case, the key seasonal chart to localize the influence of the Sun-Saturn opposition. For the winter season, this means the chart for the Sun’s ingress into Capricorn and for the spring season, the Sun’s ingress into Aries. I found a number of seasonal charts that placed the Sun-Saturn opposition over or near the continental United States. I confined my research to these since I have past weather records for the U.S. The first map is for the Sun-Saturn opposition of February 10, 2007. As shown below, the key chart placed the Sun and Saturn off the U.S. West Coast. This would signify an area of great concentration of the cold and storminess promised by the opposition, which would then travel in eastward motion as weather patterns do at those latitudes. Feb 10, 2007
The Weather Channel map for Feb 10, 2007 shows a cold front and stormy conditions (both expected from the opposition) affecting the West Coast states. Feb 10, 2007
On the 10th, the Weather Channel reported: Several storm systems will move into the West bringing rain to the lower elevations and welcome snow the mountains and ski resorts. One of these weather systems will move into Southern California on Sunday (Feb 11) bringing showers to Los Angeles and San Diego with snow above 6000 feet. Snow levels will fall to around 5000 feet in the Sierra Nevada where over a foot of additional snow is forecast by Sunday night. The Wasatch in Utah are forecast to pick up generally as much as 12 inches of new snow above 6000 feet with rain in Salt Lake City.

February 24, 2008


The key chart for the Sun-Saturn opposition of Feb 24, 2008 also placed the Sun and Saturn over the West Coast states as shown in the astro-locality map below. Feb 24, 2008


The following Accuweather map is for Feb 24, 2008. Is shows heavy rain and blizzard conditions affecting California.
24 California Lashing
Accuweather reported the following on the 24th: A powerful storm will continue to blast California with rain, burying mountain snow and howling winds today. A yardstick will be needed to measure the snow that falls in the Sierra through tonight. The storm will bury the ski resorts above 7,000 feet with a total of 3 to 5 feet of snow.

March 8, 2009

The next key chart places the Sun-Saturn opposition of Mar 8, 2009 over the Plains.
Mar 8, 2009

The Weather Channel map below for the 7th, shows a powerful storm system hitting the Plains, which continued for a couple of days.
March 07, 2009
Accuweather headlines on the 7th read: Two Snowstorms Slam Central Plains The first in a pair of snowstorms will blanket the ground with fresh coating of snow from northern Nebraska northeastward into southern Ontario this weekend. The second storm could bring blizzard conditions and heavy snowfall along a similar path, potentially paralyzing travel over some areas and ushering in a wintry blast of cold air.

March 21, 2010
The key chart for the spring season placed the Sun-Saturn opposition over the eastern U.S.
Mar 21, 2010
The following Weather Channel map is for the 22nd and shows a strong storm system over the exact same area.
March 22, 2010
Accuweather reported that locally strong thunderstorms were affecting the Southeast. “The thunderstorms are being triggered by the clash of two distinctly different air masses. Colder air is invading the Southeast, where mild and more moist air currently resides.” They also stated that within a few days biting cold air would take a shot at the Midwest and Northeast.

Conclusion
I think including the locality information provided by the key charts in these examples has served to confirm traditional notions about the effect of Sun-Saturn oppositions. The March 8, 2009 storm was one that I predicted in the preceding February by this astrometeorological method. Click here.

Fall Weather 2012: Eastern U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: New England
Fall Weather 2012: Central U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: The U.S. West Coast
Mars Conjunct Saturn August 15, 2012
Jupiter-Neptune and Heavy Rain
The Solar Eclipse of November 13, 2012
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Darwin Dissenter
Thomas Nagel, atheist and philosopher professor at New York University, finds significant weaknesses in neo-Darwinian evolution and chemical evolution. He published his view in a new Oxford University Press book Mind & Cosmos: Why the Materialist Neo-Darwinian Conception of Nature is Almost Certainly False. Click here for some intriguing quotes.

Tuesday, October 09, 2012

October 1-10, 2012 Fall Forecast Results

Here is the next installment of fall forecast results. These long-range weather forecasts were published back in August of 2012 and are based on planetary cycles also known as astrometeorology.

The first forecasts we'll look at were for the Central U.S. and can be found here.

Forecast
October 4-5, 2012
Mercury will parallel Neptune and conjoin Saturn. Around this time the central Plains should experience a southerly air flow first that increases temps and humidity. The weather then may turn cloudy with some possible rain and cooler temps.


Results
On October 4th, Accuweather posted an article about the Blue Norther that was beginning to affect the Central U.S. There definition is as follows:

What is a Blue Norther?

A blue norther is a cold front that brings much cooler air to the Plains and Texas, often with very sudden changes. The wind switches from a southerly direction to a northerly direction when these fronts pass through an area. "You can get a high of 85 degrees, and then a high in the 30s or 40s the next day with rain," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Joe Sobel said.

This confirms the long-range forecast which talked about the central Plains experiencing a southerly airflow and increase in temperatures before the weather then turned colder. The next Accuweather map shows the cold temperatures or rather the departure from normal temperatures at this time.
04 Blue Norther

Forecast
October 9-10, 2012

Saturn's trine to Neptune is exact now. Cloudiness, night frosts. Misty or foggy, gloomy or cloudy, showery, lower temps through the Plains area.

Results
The next Accuweather map for the 9th shows the cloudiness mentioned in the long-range forecast.
09 Visible Satellite The following Accuweather map shows the lower temperatures also mentioned in the long-range forecast. 09 Departure from normal

West
The original forecast can be found here.

Forecast

October 1-3, 2012
A cold and possibly windy high pressure area or front affects the region.
Results
On October 2nd, Accuweather reported that the combination of dry air and gusty winds was enhancing the risk for fires across a large part of the West.
On the 3rd, the National Weather Service issued the following warning for the Pacific Northwest:
WINDS...EAST TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH. HOWEVER ON RIDGES AND NEAR THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE...EXPECT EAST WIND 20 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS 30 TO 45 MPH.   
Forecast
October 8-10, 2012
A cool, fair weather pattern.
Results
On October 8th, the NWS at Portland, OR posted the following synopsis:
DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST PACIFIC.
Fall Weather 2012: Eastern U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: New England
Fall Weather 2012: Central U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: The U.S. West Coast
Mars Conjunct Saturn August 15, 2012
Jupiter-Neptune and Heavy Rain
The Solar Eclipse of November 13, 2012
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Monday, October 01, 2012

September 25-October 1, 2012 Forecast Results

Here are the results of the first forecasts made at the end of August for the beginning of the fall season.

Central U.S.

Forecast
Sept 30-Oct 1
Mercury will parallel Saturn now and the Moon will opposed Mercury and Saturn on October 1st. Saturn stretches from Texas to Minnesota. We should see increasing cloudiness, easterly winds, lower temps, and possible precipitation.

Results
Mercury's parallel to Saturn as mentioned above is bringing the first major pattern change to the central U.S. As we speak, colder air is starting to funnel down the eastern Rockies into the Plains. Chillier air will move in over the northern and central Rockies to parts of the Plains and Midwest. Check out the Weather Channel map below. 01 Pattern Change Eastern U.S.

Forecast

Sept 25-27

Venus' square to Mars at this time will increase temperatures and bring a front or storm system to the Mid-Atlantic area.

Results

On the 25th, weather forecasters reported, "...the rain and storms may impact the swath from Washington, D.C., to Philadelphia, New York City and Boston during Wednesday (26th). On the 27th, they said, "- A zone of drenching showers and locally gusty thunderstorms from the mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley to the south-central Plains will once again impact millions of people into Thursday night. Towns and communities from West Virginia to the Delmarva Peninsula will have to be alert late this afternoon and evening for potentially gusty storms...a few of the storms will be capable of producing gusty and potentially damaging winds." The Weather Channel map below is for the 27th and shows a low pressure area over the Mid-Atlantic. Sept 27 West Coast

Forecast

Sept 25-29

A very stormy weather system is expected packing high velocity winds and precipitation over the West Coast.

Results

No major storm system affected the area at this time. On the 27th and 28th a breezy front affected the area with little or no threat of precipitation. The map below shows the front on the 29th. Sept 29

New England

Forecast

Sept 26-27

The Mars-Neptune crossing off the New England coast is triggered now as well as another one further south off the North Carolina coast. This might be an indication of the path of a tropical system that is drawn northward passed the Carolinas toward New England in and around these dates.

Results

Although no tropical system developed, there was heavy rain reported. Sept 27th- Showers associated with a surface low and cold front will move from Pennsylvania and West Virginia into southern New York and southwest New England overnight. Some of the heavier showers could produce rainfall totals in excess of one inch from Pennsylvania to southern New York tonight and Friday. Sept 28th- Pockets of locally heavy rain, especially eastern New England, is possible through tonight, with some spots expected to pick up over an inch.

The following map is for the 26th.

26 East

Fall Weather 2012: Eastern U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: New England
Fall Weather 2012: Central U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: The U.S. West Coast
Mars Conjunct Saturn August 15, 2012
Jupiter-Neptune and Heavy Rain
The Solar Eclipse of November 13, 2012
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

True Life Values (Click to view)
true_life_values-LRG