Sunday, April 10, 2005

Forecast Results of "The Best and Worst of April's Weather"

Forecasts prepared between March 21-25, 2005



Forecast:

April 1-3, 2005: A southerly airflow kicks in over the western Gulf of Mexico bringing warmer temperatures for the Deep South and on into the East Central States. Due to this increase in temperatures and humidity storms erupt over the area.
The western U.S. is also slated for a warm up.



Photo courtesy of The Weather Channel


Results:

Flood watches are in effect from the Middle Atlantic to New England as a storm system intensifies and moves oh-so-slowly up through the Appalachians today. The region has picked up significant rain lately and this system promises to offer another decent soaking across the region. It’s also that time of the year when snowmelt and ice jams on some rivers will make the situation worse. Most of the major cities of the Northeast will have to deal with a rainfall that will be heavy at times and by the time Sunday rolls around, will have picked up 2 inches or more of rain. Some thunderstorms may sweep toward the East Coast later during the mid-morning to early afternoon time period from eastern North Carolina northward to Maryland. Winds will be picking up as well (20 to 40 mph) with the eastern Ohio Valley experiencing the strong northerly and northwesterly winds today while very strong onshore winds on the order of 20 to 40 mph (with higher gusts) out of the southeast will buffet Long Island...Rain will change to wet snow tonight over parts of northeast Ohio, extreme southeastern New York, western Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. Cities like Cleveland and Pittsburgh may pick up decent accumulations but higher elevations may see significant accumulations of snow (such as Snowshoe, WV) along with very gusty winds. Rain will increase late today over northern New England and it may change to snow in some areas (especially the higher elevations) on Sunday. Snow showers may even linger into Monday morning.




Forecast:April 1-3, 2005:
The western U.S. is also slated for a warm up.

Results:

April 1: (The Weather Channel) Highs will soar to near 70 degrees in Denver, after a recent snowfall. Winds should turn onshore in Southern California, providing a cooler day with highs generally in the 70s in Downtown L.A. and San Diego after two days in the 80s.


Forecast:

April 5-7, 2005: The Southeast, East Central and western U.S. continue warm and fair.

Results:

April 4, 2005: (The Weather Channel) The South will continue under the rule of high pressure well into Tuesday (April 5th). Ahead of an advancing cold front traversing the Plains, temperatures on Tuesday (April 5th) will be well above average for the day. Highs in the 70s will be widespread and found as far north as the Great Lakes along with 80s creeping into southern Georgia and South Carolina and even 90s along the Rio Grande River.

West
Temperatures will be at or just below daily averages from the coast to the western Plains.

April 5, 2005: (The Weather Channel) Except for some rain edging into western Washington, western Oregon and northwest California tomorrow, the West will be mild and dry as an upper-level southerly flow along the north Pacific coast precludes the rain from spreading rapidly inland.

Apirl 6, 2005: (The Weather Channel) Heavy rains continue to pound the already saturated South. :(

April 7, 2005: (The Weather Channel) The high on Thursday of 96 degrees in Phoenix, Ariz, was the first time this year that the temperature has hit 90 degrees or more.

Forecast:

April 8-10, 2005: A storm system affecting the Ohio Valley and Southeast spreads inclement weather in the the Northeast U.S.

Results:


April 7, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
South
A large and lumbering storm system will inch its way across the Southeast on Friday (April 8th). Look for showers across much of the Southeast during the day.




Northeast
Much of the coastal Northeast will be wet overnight and into Friday morning (April 8th) as moisture moves up from the south and in from the west. Flood watches remain in effect for parts of Upstate New York and Southern New England and southward to around Washington, D.C.

Forecast:

April 8-10, 2005: Low pressure brings thunderstorms to the Rockies and Plains. Special intensity is shown over New Mexico and Minnesota.

Results:

April 9, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
Major Denver snow and Plains severe.
A potent spring storm is moving through the Four Corners and will emerge tonight around the Panhandles of Oklahoma and Texas. This storm system brought 4 to 8 inches of snow to sections of southern Utah on Saturday (April 9th) as it passed over Beehive State. The snow is now turning heavy across the Colorado Rockies...
During the late evening hours, scattered strong to severe thunderstorms (mainly potential hail producers) are forecast to develop from extreme northeast Colorado to extreme southwestern Minnesota along a cold front. On Sunday (April 10th), a bigger severe event will begin to unfold. During the day, severe thunderstorms will continue to fire along the cold front from Kansas to southern Minnesota. By Sunday evening, severe thunderstorms will also rapidly erupt southward over Oklahoma and the eastern half of Texas ahead of the dry line and trailing southern portion of the cold front. Sunday night, the severe thunderstorms will gradually shift eastward into Missouri, Arkansas and western Louisiana. On Sunday, hail, damaging winds and tornadoes are all possible with the developing thunderstorms.

Forecast:

April 11-14, 2005: The Pacific Northwest is in store for an influx of very moist warm air around the 13th giving way to thunderstorm activity, which then continues westward over the Rockies.

Results:

April 12, 2005: (The Weather Channel) West
A cold dome of low pressure aloft will keep things unsettled across parts of the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday. Look for rain and snow showers over parts of Washington, Oregon, Idaho and western Montana. Snow levels over western Washington and western Oregon should be quite low, in the 2000- to 3000-foot range, but may occasionally drop to 1500 feet. Look for gusty winds around the Great Basin as a strong Pacific cold front pushes through the region.

Forecast:

April 11-14, 2005: Cool and fair conditions are shown for the Plains, the Ohio Valley and Southeast.

Results:

April 12, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
Midwest
Much of the Midwest and Plains will enjoy a dry Wednesday as a large high pressure area, accompanied by gusty winds, builds southward out of Canada. The exception will be across the Ohio Valley where scattered showers will fall. High temperatures will range from the 50s across the great Lakes to the 60s through the Plains.

South
An unstable atmosphere will be in place across parts of the Southeast on Wednesday with plenty of cold air aloft. Any daytime heating will allow clouds to form rapidly and allow showers and thundershowers to develop. Although some small hail may fall from some thunderstorms, the storms are not expected to be severe. The main areas to watch will be Tennessee, northern Alabama, northern Georgia and the Carolinas.

April 13, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
South catches a break from the storms, West remains unsettled.

April 14, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
The rest of the South will enjoy great weather right through the weekend.

Forecast:
April 15, 2005: The Middle Atlantic States turn stormy generating a low pressure system that heads across New England toward Nova Scotia.

Results:

April 14, 2005: (The Weather Channel)


Look for gusty winds, dangerous riptides and beach erosion along the Eastern Seaboard until Saturday as low pressure drift slowly away from the Carolinas. Rain will continue in southeastern North Carolina and temperatures will be chilly... a stubborn storm will linger off the Southeast Coast for two more days before finally heading well out to sea on Sunday. Northeast winds will be strong and gusty (possibly over 40 mph) across Tidewater Virginia and coastal North Carolina. North-to-northeast winds along coastal South Carolina and eastern Florida could gust to between 20 and 30 mph at times.


April 15, 2005: (National Weather Service)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
120 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2005

WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FIRE GROWTH DUE TO GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT ACROSS AN ALREADY DRY LANDSCAPE. THE AREA OF CONCERN INCLUDES WINDHAM COUNTY IN CONNECTICUT...ALL OF RHODE ISLAND EXCEPT BLOCK ISLAND...AND IN SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS THIS INCLUDES BRISTOL...WESTERN NORFOLK...AND INTERIOR PLYMOUTH COUNTIES.

A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC PRODUCED SUNNY SKIES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THIS HIGH COMBINED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST PRODUCED GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

Forecast:

April 18, 2005: The Pacific Northwest continues with higher than normal temperatures and humidity. With enough moisture in place, storms will fire up throughout the West Coast States.

Results:

April 18, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
A massive upper-level trough will continue to sit and spin over the northern Great Basin The main effect from this stubborn storm will be copious amounts of snow from the Bitterroot chain to the Tetons where upwards of two feet of snow will fall in the next few days...Temperatures across the area will be suppressed by this persistent pattern. Afternoon highs through Wednesday will run 10 to 15 degrees below average throughout the Intermountain West.

Forecast:
April 18, 2005: Temperatures are on the upswing over the Rockies and Front Range as well.

Results:

April 16, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
...the Southwest and the Great Basin will have highs 10-20 degrees above average on Sunday (April 17th) with mostly sunny skies.

April 18, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
...Highs have reached, at times, the mid 80s as far north as Fargo, ND the past two days.

Forecast

April 19, 2005: A front cutting through the Middle Atlantic States triggers storms, which continue through New England.

Results

April 19, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
Changes on the way from the Plains to the Northeast
Northeast
Big changes are on the way…as a strong front delineating a push of colder air into the region…This will mark the beginning of an extended cold period for the East...

April 20, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
Northeast
As advertised, the next big cold front will push through the Northeast…The accompanying showers and thunderstorms from Boston to Washington, D.C. will drop the first measurable precipitation for this area since April 8th.

Forecast

April 22-24,2005: Fair conditions embrace the Plains and Intermountain West. Cool and clear weather finds its way over the Rockies and from the Southeast into New England.

Results

April 22, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
Severe thunderstorms will be on the decline across the Southeast during the overnight hours. These storms will be followed by some chilly air that will prevail across the Southeast this weekend.

Northeast
Parts of the Northeast will start out cold on Saturday while other areas will be mild as a storm system erupts over the eastern Great Lakes Colder air will finally make it to the Eastern Seaboard by Sunday afternoon. Heavy rains will precede the cold front for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast and flood watches are in effect for parts of Upstate New York, northeast Pennsylvania and western New England. Behind the front, it will feel like winter for areas from western New York through West Virginia by Saturday night and Sunday.

April 23, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
Late season snow Midwest and mighty cold central Plains to South

West
Much of the West will turn more unsettled as we head through the night into Sunday. This can be blamed on a trio of upper-level lows. A rather compact system will swing through Southern California and into the Desert Southwest and Rockies tonight through Sunday.

Forecast

April 26-27, 2005: Storms are triggered over the Southwest U.S. and Rockies.

Results

April 26, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
West
The West will become unsettled for awhile as a Pacific storm appoaches the coast while some cold, Canadian air invades the northern Rockies. The cold winds will push up the eastern slopes of Rockies delivering snow to portions of southern and eastern Montana, northern and western Wyoming, the mountains of central Idaho, and the Colorado Rockies.

April 27, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
A system that has been looming offshore show signs of moving inland as the first band of rain moved in across the Bay Area Wednesday afternoon. Expect more of the same throughout the evening and into Thursday as this low moves inland across central California bringing showers from Sacramento to San Diego. This system will continue to push eastward and strengthen as it moves into the Southern Plains…

Forecast

April 27-28, 2005: Moisture is drawn up from the central Gulf of Mexico over Louisiana increasing temperatures and leading to storm activity throughout the Mississippi Valley, Deep South, and East Central States.

Results

April 28, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
Developing storm will affect the Eastern US
South
A storm system will develop on Friday around the border of Texas and Oklahoma and scoot rapidly to the northeast while gaining strength on Friday night. An energetic cold front will drop southward into Texas and push eastward into the Mississippi Valley. Expect gusty winds over much of the region. Thunderstorms will rapidly develop from southwestern Kentucky through Louisiana later in the afternoon. Some of these storms will be severe with large hail and damaging winds. Tornadoes are also possible in these areas.

Forecast

April 29-30, 2005: Moisture continues northward from the Gulf toward the Great Lakes setting off storms over Indiana and the surrounding area.

Results

April 28, 2005: (National Weather Service)
321 PM EST THU APR 28 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL OF AROUND ONE INCH IS LIKELY. FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS.

April 29, 2005: (The Weather Channel)

Midwest
Warm moist air will surge northward from the northern Gulf toward the Ohio Valley…
Look for plenty of unsettled weather across parts of the Midwest over the next couple of days as a developing storm in the southern Plains races northeastward… Areas most under the gun will be around the border of Kentucky and Missouri…The storm system will quickly sweep through the eastern Great Lakes with rain ending in the eastern Ohio Valley and Michigan. It will be windy, as well. Rain may mix with or change to snow over northern sections of Michigan on Saturday night.

Forecast

April 29-30, 2005: Most of New England sees fair weather except for Maine.

Results

April 28, 2005: (The Weather Channel)

Northeast
Most of the Middle Atlantic region will have to deal with a dull and wet Friday as a front remains draped over the area. On Saturday, a stregthening storm will make it way through the eastern Great Lakes and into Canada. The result will be plenty of rain and wind across the entire region on Friday night and Saturday. Much of the Northeast could pick up an inch or more of rain. The may be more flooding issues across parts of Northern New England. Severe thunderstorms could develop by Saturday afternoon from Pennsylvania to Virginia.

Forecast

April 29-30, 2005: The Pacific Northwest succumbs to storms while the Rockies are cool and clear.

Results

April 29, 2005: (The Weather Channel)

West
Elsewhere, showers will also fall across the Pacific Northwest.

April 30, 2005: (The Weather Channel)
The other western weather-maker will be a weather system sliding into the West Coast from the Pacific. This system should primarily be a wet, rather than snowy system, except at the higher peaks of the Great Basin and Wasatch.


April 30, 2005: (The Weather Channel)

West
…an air mass with glimmers of winter rather than the first of May will hang tough over the northern and central Rockies and adjacent high Plains… Cold air should stay in place, and more light to occasionally moderate snow is possible Sunday from southern Wyoming into Colorado and even extreme northern New Mexico.